Sunday, February 22, 2009

Oscar Predictions

Unlike Ahsan I know next to nothing about football, so I'm going to limit my predictions to pop culture. Here is who's going to win and who should win at the Oscars tonight. I've cheated a bit in my who should win picks by including movies that haven't been nominated.

Best Movie

Who Should Win: The Wrestler
Who Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire

Best Director
Who Should Win: Charlie Kaufman for Synecdoche, New York
Who Will Win: Danny Boyle for Slumdog Millionaire

Best Actor
Who Should Win: Mickey Rourke for The Wrestler
Who Will Win: Mickey Rourke for The Wrestler

Best Actress:
Who Should Win: Anne Hathaway for Rachel Getting Married
Who Will Win: Kate Winslett for The Reader

Best Supporting Actor
Who Should Win: Heath Ledger for The Dark Knight
Who Will Win: Heath Ledger for The Dark Knight

Best Supporting Actress
Who Should Win: Marisa Tomei for The Wrestler
Who Will Win: Penelope Cruz for Vicki Cristina Barcelona

Best Documentary
Who Should Win: Man on Wire
Who Will Win: Man on Wire

Best Song
Who Should Win: Bruce Springsteen for The Wrestler
Who Will Win: A.R. Rahman for Jai Ho

Best Original Screenplay
Who Should Win: Wall-E
Who Will Win: Milk

Best Adapted Screenplay
Who Should Win: Slumdog Millionaire
Who Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire


Asfandyar said...

It's astonishing how Slumdog and Benjamin Button are nominated but not The Wrestler :S

Augustus Fink-Nottle said...

Bubs, I agree with you that Anne Hathaway did a fantastic job in Rachel Getting Married. Her grief was narrated very subtly and it kept unfolding bit by bit throughout the film. I think it is for the very same reason that Kate Winslet should win for The Reader. She did the same but far more impressively to my mind. The humiliation that she felt for being illiterate stuck with her for so long. She puts up the strong act fairly well at the beginning but it was the scene where Ralph Fiennes comes to visit her in the prison to tell her he has found a place for her that defined the movie for me. Her happiness seems to know no bounds when she meets once again this 'kid' who gave her a purpose in life, a goal, an inspiration to overcome her biggest shortfalling. And then he questions her morals on working for Nazis and it all crumbles right there on screen. In one instant you see her face go from happiness to pure grief and then a mask is back on again. She is defiant once more just as she was for much of the first half of the film.

Anne Hathaway does a supreme job but the style of direction, the supporting cast and the contemporary suburban story of a supposedly ruined life adds so much more. Kate Winslet lends an aura to The Reader without which the film would be only half-complete.

Asfandyar said...

Well that was wank.

SDM for Best Film and Rourke missing on Best Actor.

You know what word comes to mind? Shambolic.

Super said...

I'm officially anti-oscars, I did write a seething article about the whole farce once, but never got round to finishing it off and it still kind of sits in the back of my mind to irritate me every so often.
It's just so obvious that nudity (and other perverted, disturbing crap, hint: Monsters Ball, Babel etc) is synonymous with recieving an oscar, especially when it comes to the actresses.

Kalsoom said...


You really liked the Wrestler didn't you? :) Honestly, I thought it was an incredible movie - I really wanted Mickey Rourke to win, he delivered an amazing, real, and raw performance. I'm glad Sean Penn at least recognized him in his speech.

bubs said...

Augustus Fink Nottle: Love the Wodehouse name. Honestly, you may be right, but I found The Reader so mediocre I couldn't really appreciate Winslett.

Super: I completely disagree with you about the nudity (not that I have any problem with it). If the willingness to disrobe was a qualification for winning an Oscar, Kate Winslett wouldn't have had to wait for so long to win one.

Kalsoom: I have always admired Darren Aronofsky as a director but always found his movies a bit too depressing to handle and thought he was a bit of a show-off as a director. The Wrestler was a distinctly Aronofskian (which should be a word) movie but I found it a lot easier to take than, say, Requiem for a Dream.

Majaz said...

I must say Hathaway was good but Winslet was better. Her real competition was Meryl Streep, not Hathaway. Viola Davis and Amy Adams were terrific too, they definitely should've bagged that instead of Cruz.

Your predictions are sadly too true. SDM wasn't that great and yet it managed to bag so many of em. A. R. Rahman and Springsteen are a neck-in-neck to me when it comes to the nomination. I think if there was even a difference, it would've been very slight.

But SDM winning best film was sad. The Reader should've won.

Majaz said...

Winslet's real competition*

Super said...

bubs, mate, the reason she had to wait that long was probably down to the panel having more than enough disrobing actresses to choose from each year (plus she has trimmed down a little, hence re-appeared on the oscar-worthy radar).

on another note, i do like winslet as an actress and she deserved this but more for her collective efforts.
anne hathaway is a good actress, but it's probably too early on in her career for such titles i'd say.

all in all, i'm gutted cate blanchette didn't get any recognition for her villian role in indy 4.

hiragoeson said...

i thought Cate deserved the Oscar last year for 'I'm not there'. Her scenes carried the entire movie.

And Slumdog is too over rated.

Have no clue why Benjamin Button was even nominated. Idiotic bit of film making which managed to ruin the original story for me. Hollywood moguls, please return David Fincher's soul!